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Aurora forecast

Live NOAA data for both hemispheres: where the auroral oval reaches tonight, the 3-day Kp outlook, and the solar wind conditions that drive it.

LIVE · NOAA SWPCThis page re-checks every 5 min · next check in --:--
Planetary Kp
0.7
Observed 18:00 UTC
Solar wind speed
449 km/s
Saved from NOAA 18:00 UTC
IMF Bz
+1.0 nT
Northward · saved from NOAA 18:00 UTC
OVATION peak probability
12%
Saved from NOAA 18:00 UTC

Quick answer

Current forecast verdict
Geomagnetic activity is at Kp 0.7 (observed 18:00 UTC). The equatorward edge of the auroral oval is near 65.2° geomagnetic latitude in both hemispheres; with dark, clear skies you need to be poleward of that line, or close to it to see aurora low on the poleward horizon. IMF Bz is 1.0 nT (northward, which usually keeps activity quiet).
Best viewing window
Usually the hours around local magnetic midnight, roughly 10 PM to 2 AM local time, away from city lights and with a clear view toward the pole. Substorms can still start at any hour of darkness.
Key limiting factor
Bz needs to stay steadily negative (southward) for the solar wind to couple strongly into Earth's magnetosphere. On the ground, clouds and darkness matter as much as any forecast number.

Northern and southern viewlines

The dashed lines trace 65.2° geomagnetic latitude in each hemisphere, the approximate equatorward edge of the auroral oval for the current Kp. They curve because Earth's magnetic poles are offset from the geographic poles. Coloured dots are NOAA's OVATION model: where aurora is likely overhead right now (10%+ probability). White-ringed dots are reference places; hover to see their geomagnetic latitude.

Northern and southern aurora viewlines

Interactive map with live data layers

Geomagnetic latitudes use a centered-dipole model of Earth's field: typically within a few degrees, but it understates geomagnetic latitude in southern Australia and New Zealand, and Kp stops at 9, so extreme storms reach further than any line here. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

NOAA 3-day Kp outlook

NOAA's 3-hour Kp values (UTC). Bars marked observed or estimated are measurements; predicted bars are NOAA's forecast.

Tue, 13 Oct

max Kp 5.0
  • 4.000
  • 4.703
  • 5.006
  • 4.309
  • 4.012
  • 3.715
  • 3.318
  • 2.721

Wed, 14 Oct

max Kp 4.0
  • 3.700
  • 4.003
  • 2.706
  • 3.709
  • 3.712
  • 3.715
  • 3.318
  • 2.721

Thu, 15 Oct

max Kp 2.7
  • 2.700

Find the aurora forecast for your location

Search a city, U.S. state or country to open its own forecast page, with local cloud cover, darkness and the Kp it needs.

Browse by U.S. state and territory

Sorted from most to least aurora-prone. Geomagnetic latitude is for each state's reference point; the north of a large state sees aurora at a lower Kp than its south.

Aurora forecasts by country

All 230 countries and territories

Names for the aurora

Scientific terms, names in other languages, Indigenous names and folklore. Where a translation or a story is disputed or only modern, the entry says so.

25 of 25 names

Aurora Borealis

Scientific terms

Latin, from Roman and Greek mythology · say "uh-ROR-uh bor-ee-AL-iss"

Meaning: Northern dawn

The scientific name for the aurora of the Northern Hemisphere. It joins Aurora, the Roman goddess of the dawn, with Boreas, the Greek god of the north wind.

Origin: Usually credited to Galileo Galilei (1619); Pierre Gassendi used it in 1621

Aurora Australis

Scientific terms

Latin · say "uh-ROR-uh aw-STRAY-liss"

Meaning: Southern dawn

The aurora of the Southern Hemisphere, also called the southern lights. It forms around the south geomagnetic pole and is seen from Antarctica, Tasmania, southern mainland Australia, New Zealand and the far south of South America.

Origin: Popularised after James Cook's 1773 voyage in the Southern Ocean

Aurora Polaris

Scientific terms

Latin · say "uh-ROR-uh poh-LAIR-iss"

Meaning: Polar dawn

An umbrella term covering both the northern and the southern aurora.

Origin: Scientific Latin

Northern Lights

Names around the world

English

Meaning: Northern lights

The everyday English name for the aurora of the Northern Hemisphere.

Origin: English common name

Nordlys

Names around the world

Norwegian and Danish

Meaning: Northern light

The everyday name in Norway, where Tromsø and the Lofoten Islands sit under the auroral oval.

Origin: Norwegian and Danish common name

Norrsken

Names around the world

Swedish

Meaning: Northern glow

The everyday Swedish name; Abisko in Swedish Lapland is a well-known viewing site.

Origin: Swedish common name

Norðurljós

Names around the world

Icelandic

Meaning: Northern lights

The Icelandic name. All of Iceland lies close to the auroral oval, so clear, dark nights often bring displays.

Origin: Icelandic common name

Nordlicht

Names around the world

German

Meaning: Northern light

The German name; also Polarlicht, polar light, for both hemispheres.

Origin: German common name

Aurore boréale

Names around the world

French

Meaning: Northern dawn

The French name, a direct descendant of the Latin aurora borealis.

Origin: French form of the Latin term

Aurora boreal

Names around the world

Spanish and Portuguese

Meaning: Northern dawn

The Spanish and Portuguese name; the southern aurora is aurora austral.

Origin: Spanish and Portuguese form of the Latin term

Aurora boreale

Names around the world

Italian

Meaning: Northern dawn

The Italian name, keeping the Latin phrase attributed to Galileo almost unchanged.

Origin: Italian form of the Latin term

Zorza polarna

Names around the world

Polish

Meaning: Polar dawn-glow

The Polish name. Zorza is the ordinary word for the glow of the sky at dawn or dusk.

Origin: Polish zorza, the glow of dawn or dusk, related to Slavic zarya and zora

极光 (jíguāng)

Names around the world

Chinese

Meaning: Polar light

The modern Chinese name. In mainland China the aurora is regularly seen only from the far north, around Mohe in Heilongjiang.

Origin: Modern Chinese term

オーロラ (ōrora)

Names around the world

Japanese

Meaning: Aurora

The everyday Japanese name. Low red aurora is occasionally seen from Hokkaido during strong storms.

Origin: Japanese loanword from the Latin aurora

Revontulet

Folklore & legend

Finnish · say "REH-vohn-too-let"

Meaning: Fox fires

The Finnish name comes from the tale of the tulikettu, the fire fox, whose tail brushed the snow as it ran across the fells and threw sparks into the sky.

Origin: Finnish folklore

Guovssahas

Indigenous names

Northern Sámi (Sápmi: northern Norway, Sweden, Finland and Russia)

Meaning: Often translated as "the light that can be heard"

The Northern Sámi name. In Sámi tradition the lights were treated with respect and caution: people were told not to wave, whistle or sing at them. The popular translation connects to reports of faint crackling sounds during strong displays.

Origin: Sámi oral tradition

Aqsarniit / Arsarnerit

Indigenous names

Inuktitut (Canada) / Greenlandic

Meaning: Football players

In many Inuit traditions the lights are the spirits of the dead playing a ball game across the sky, in some tellings with a walrus skull.

Origin: Inuit oral tradition

Wâwâtêwak

Indigenous names

Cree

Meaning: The northern lights; also described as cîpayak kâ-nîmihitocik, "the spirits are dancing"

In Cree tradition the moving curtains of light are often understood as the spirits of people who have died, dancing.

Origin: Cree oral tradition

Na Fir Chlis

Folklore & legend

Scottish Gaelic

Meaning: The nimble men

In Gaelic folklore the nimble men were sometimes said to be fighting in the sky. In Shetland and Orkney the aurora is called the Merry Dancers.

Origin: Highland and Hebridean folklore

Sillblixt

Folklore & legend

Swedish (coastal folk name)

Meaning: Herring flash

A folk belief along the Swedish coast held that the lights were reflections from great shoals of herring.

Origin: Swedish coastal folklore

Classical Chinese and Japanese records

Meaning: Red vapor

How chroniclers in China and Japan recorded red aurora seen during great geomagnetic storms. These records are used by scientists today to date historical storms.

Origin: Historical chronicles; e.g. the Japanese Meigetsuki diary describes red vapor in 1204

Bifröst

Folklore & legend

Old Norse mythology

Meaning: Possibly "the shimmering way"

The burning bridge between Midgard and Asgard. The medieval sources describe it like a rainbow; linking Bifröst to the aurora is a modern interpretation, not something the Eddas say.

Origin: Prose Edda and Poetic Edda (13th century)

Modern retelling of Norse myth

A widely repeated story says the aurora is light reflecting off the Valkyries' armour. No Old Norse text says this; it is a modern invention.

Origin: Modern; no Old Norse source

STEVE

Related phenomena

Citizen scientists (2016), later given the name Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement · say "steev"

Meaning: Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement

A narrow mauve ribbon of light, sometimes with a green "picket fence" beneath it, seen equatorward of the main aurora. It is linked to fast, hot flows of ions (subauroral ion drifts) rather than to the particle precipitation that causes ordinary aurora.

Origin: Named by aurora photographers in 2016; described in Science Advances in 2018

Frequently asked questions

How often does this aurora forecast update?

This page re-checks its data every 5 minutes. The data itself comes from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center on NOAA's own schedule: real-time solar wind from the DSCOVR spacecraft arrives about once a minute and this site stores the latest readings about every 10 minutes; the planetary Kp index is published for each 3-hour period with an estimate in between; and the 3-day Kp outlook is issued by NOAA forecasters. Kp is shown with the time NOAA observed it; solar wind and OVATION values are shown with the time this site last saved them from NOAA.

What Kp index is required to see the northern lights tonight?

It depends on your geomagnetic latitude, which is not the same as geographic latitude because Earth's magnetic poles are offset from the geographic poles. As a rule of thumb the edge of the auroral oval reaches about 60° geomagnetic latitude at Kp 3, 56° at Kp 5, 52° at Kp 7 and 48° at Kp 9, on a 0–9 scale. Chicago, at 41.9°N, is about 51° geomagnetic north, so it usually needs Kp 7 or more; Rome, at the same geographic latitude, is only about 42° geomagnetic and rarely sees aurora at all. Because Kp stops at 9, the most extreme storms can push the aurora further than this rule suggests, and aurora can also appear low on the poleward horizon from somewhat further away.

What is the difference between Aurora Borealis and Aurora Australis?

Only the hemisphere. Both are produced the same way: energy from the solar wind drives electrons down Earth's magnetic field lines into the upper atmosphere, where they make oxygen and nitrogen glow. The northern (borealis) and southern (australis) ovals are usually active at the same time and roughly mirror each other, though not exactly.

What does a negative Bz mean for aurora viewing?

Bz is the north–south part of the magnetic field carried by the solar wind. When it points south (negative), it can connect with Earth's own northward-pointing field at the dayside magnetopause, letting far more solar wind energy into the magnetosphere. A Bz that stays below about −5 nT is worth watching, and −10 nT or lower for a long stretch reliably drives storm-level activity. A northward (positive) Bz usually keeps the aurora quiet, even when the solar wind is fast.

What is STEVE?

STEVE (Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement) is a narrow mauve ribbon of light, sometimes with a green "picket fence" beneath it, seen equatorward of the main aurora. It was named by aurora photographers in 2016 and described scientifically in 2018. Unlike ordinary aurora it is not caused by particles raining into the atmosphere; it is linked to fast, hot flows of ions known as subauroral ion drifts.

How this forecast is made

Explanations by Spaceweathertracker staff · Last reviewed · Editorial standards · About

Kp observed by NOAA at 18:00 UTC; solar wind last saved from NOAA at 18:00 UTC. Kp shows NOAA's own observation time; solar wind and OVATION show when this site last saved NOAA's reading (NOAA's feed does not give us their observation time).

  • NOAA SWPC OVATION Prime model: a short-term aurora probability forecast driven by real-time solar wind measurements.
  • DSCOVR at the Sun–Earth L1 point, with ACE as backup: the Faraday cup measures solar wind speed and density and the magnetometer measures the interplanetary magnetic field, including Bz, roughly 15–60 minutes before the solar wind reaches Earth.
  • Planetary Kp: derived from a network of ground magnetometer observatories. The definitive index is published by GFZ Potsdam from 13 observatories; NOAA issues near-real-time estimates in between.
  • Viewlines: the standard Kp-to-geomagnetic-latitude relationship, mapped onto the globe with a centered-dipole model of Earth's magnetic field.

No telemetry value or forecast number on this page is estimated by artificial intelligence. All values come from NOAA SWPC products and are shown with a timestamp (NOAA's observation time for Kp, otherwise the time this site saved the reading); if a value is unavailable, the page says so instead of guessing.

Sources